Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.001566 0.001727 0.001889 0.002062 0.002244 0.002427 0.002626
2025-01-19 0.001268 0.001508 0.001757 0.002034 0.002330 0.002636 0.002976
2025-01-26 0.001079 0.001373 0.001687 0.002044 0.002435 0.002847 0.003310
2025-02-02 0.000936 0.001268 0.001633 0.002056 0.002527 0.003031 0.003604
2025-02-09 0.000854 0.001222 0.001634 0.002121 0.002669 0.003261 0.003941
2025-02-16 0.000812 0.001215 0.001675 0.002224 0.002850 0.003531 0.004318
2025-02-23 0.000665 0.001070 0.001547 0.002128 0.002800 0.003539 0.004402
2025-03-02 0.000560 0.000968 0.001463 0.002076 0.002795 0.003594 0.004532
2025-03-09 0.000490 0.000906 0.001421 0.002071 0.002840 0.003701 0.004719
2025-03-16 0.000444 0.000871 0.001410 0.002099 0.002922 0.003849 0.004950
2025-03-23 0.000414 0.000853 0.001419 0.002150 0.003029 0.004023 0.005210
2025-03-30 0.000376 0.000822 0.001409 0.002176 0.003105 0.004162 0.005428
2025-04-06 0.000327 0.000775 0.001379 0.002178 0.003156 0.004277 0.005624
2025-04-13 0.000272 0.000713 0.001327 0.002153 0.003174 0.004352 0.005776
2025-04-20 0.000237 0.000677 0.001306 0.002165 0.003236 0.004478 0.005985
2025-04-27 0.000205 0.000643 0.001287 0.002178 0.003297 0.004602 0.006191
2025-05-04 0.000192 0.000640 0.001310 0.002244 0.003423 0.004801 0.006484
2025-05-11 0.000192 0.000659 0.001364 0.002350 0.003598 0.005059 0.006844
2025-05-18 0.000137 0.000572 0.001263 0.002251 0.003518 0.005013 0.006851
2025-05-25 0.000101 0.000513 0.001199 0.002198 0.003493 0.005032 0.006931
2025-06-01 0.000080 0.000480 0.001171 0.002192 0.003526 0.005118 0.007089
2025-06-08 0.000068 0.000465 0.001169 0.002222 0.003603 0.005256 0.007308
2025-06-15 0.000061 0.000461 0.001185 0.002274 0.003708 0.005428 0.007567